Any scientific theory is confirmed by predictions. The theory of relativity was confirmed when the prediction of the curvature of the light during a solar eclipse came true.
No prediction by climate science has come true. Nothing. Zilch. Nada. In May, I will be 50. When I was 14, I was asked: “What is the problem you care the most?”. I answered “Global warming”. The scientists predicted the apocalypse 20 years down the line (that is, 16 years ago): entire islands under the water and so on and so forth.
Some apocalyptic predictions on global warming…made in 1989. Of course, there was only a 10-year window to address the issue back then.
https://www.apnews.com/bd45c372caf118ec99964ea547880cd0
If you want me to believe your predictions for the future, it would help if your rate of successful predictions during the last 40 years were higher than 0%.
50 years of failed apocalyptic predictions. See that:
https://cei.org/blog/wrong-again-50-years-failed-eco-pocalyptic-predictions
Read every story and you will see that many of these stories come from scientists
The same catastrophic predictions have been recycled every year since then. We live in the climatic Groundhog’s day. The slogan is always: “five years from now, it will be too late”. But 5 years go by, 10 years, 25 years and never is too late. It will only be too late 5 years from now, where “now” can be 1984 or 2020
The thing has become a farce during the last years, with phenomena like Greta Thunder and the clown world. The EU telling the plan to go against climate change will be 1 billion euros to be paid handsomely by us. Last November, UN went to the worst cash crisis of its history and I suppose multilateral institutions want to have a reliable source of income.
Science is not infallible, science is made by human beings. In addition, in our times, much of today’s science is corrupted and only serves the organizations that fund them. This is a topic for another debate.
In addition, climate science is in its infancy. The models have failed once and again. See for example:
https://www.nature.com/articles/ngeo3031?foxtrotcallback=true
“Michael Grubb, professor of international energy and climate change at University College London and one of the study’s authors, has admitted that his previous predictions had been wrong.”
“And now, in 2020, the arctic shield is nearly gone in summer, Greenland is melting heavily, the antarctic is beginning to melt and islands like Tuvalu are swallowed by the rising sea…”
Of course, climate changes all the time: this is what climate does. But the theory of climate change claims a very specific kind of change, which I explain below:
1) The average global temperature is going to increase. (Average means “in the entire planet”)
2) This increase is caused by the CO2 produced by human activities
3) This increase can be reverted or stopped by human actions.
(I will left aside that these human actions are only the ones approved by the left (no nuclear energy, , thank you very much, but giving lots of money and power to international organization to progress towards a world government and for the left bureaucrats to decide what has to be produced or not).
There is a 4) This change is not good for mankind. This is debatable because warm periods have been very good for mankind. But I will left this aside because I want to focus on the change of climate specifically.
The theory of climate change (1+2+3) has not been proved. You cannot claim any climate data as evidence of 1+2+3. You cherry pick the data. The Arctic ice is melting (but not the way the models predicted) while the Antarctic ice is growing, but we never hear about the Antarctic ice. What about Bangladesh under the waters? What about the 50 years of failed apocalyptic predictions I linked above? Even a broken clock is right twice a day.
Modern physics started when the models of Copernicus, Kepler, Galileo and Newton started doing ACCURATE PREDICTIONS 100% OF THE TIME. Imagine Kepler describing the movements of planets:
– “I predict that the planets will have these positions 10 years from now”
– 10 years later: Well, I failed spectacularly in all my predictions, but Venus seems to go in a direction that kind of seems what I predicted. Only in a part of its orbit, but there you have it. I am the man. So you have to believe my predictions for the next 10 years.
– 10 years later: Well, I failed again, but believe me, I have the consensus of the scientists. By the way, you have to transform all your economy and give all the power to international organizations because my science is correct.
You cannot be so arrogant when your models are so bad. You cannot cherry pick data and then tell that your model is good after your model is failing for decades and has been unable to produce A SINGLE ACCURATE PREDICTION.
But don’t worry. Now is the time to act. Tomorrow will be too late. We have a window of 10 years. After 10 years, we will have another window of 10 years to act and, afterwards, it will be too late. Except that it won’t be.
But this will be my last message. I have made my case and I get very tired and upset in Internet debates (due to health problems and my childhood history). I know there will be people that cannot be convinced because climate change is part of their identity (I am not talking about you or szopen: I really don’t know how you are). But the ones that can be convinced can read me and think and research themselves (and reach their own conclusions, that may be different from mine). So I achieved my goal. Peace.